Resources

The workshop has now come to a close but we will continue to add resources to this page, in particular those mentioned at the workshop.

The resources have been added in batches so that it is easy for participants to follow when resources have been added. The last batch includes all post-workshop resources.

In providing these resources we aim to build a shared platform for participants to discuss ways to explore New Zealand’s future. Please note that these resources deliberately represent a wide range of perspectives, not all of which we agree with. Some are research-based or statistics-based, and these are included in order to ensure that participants enter the workshop with a shared awareness of the landscape both within New Zealand and throughout the world. Others are included with the aim of orientating participants to a range of different opinions, approaches and modes of expression around the study of our shared future.

They are divided into three sections – Essential, Recommended and For General Interest – and are arranged by date, beginning with the most recent.

Batch 5 (post workshop)

  1. No Ordinary Disruption
    Public Affairs, Richard Dobbs, James Manyika and Jonathan Woetzel – 2015
    (Recommended by Bill Moran)
  2. The Idea of Justice
    The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press Cambridge, Massachusetts, Martya Sen – 2009
    (Recommended by Dr Girol Karacaoglu)
  3. Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis
    CQ Press, Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson – 2015
    (Recommended by Wendy McGuinness)
  4. Atlas, The Next Generation
    Boston Dynamics, 23 February 2016
  5. Why Aren’t There More Women Futurists?
    The Atlantic – Rose Eveleth, 31 July 2015
  6. Seven robots you need to know
    The Financial Times – Ian Bott, Robin Kwong, Kevin Wilson, Annabel Cook, Joseph Murtagh, 2016
  7. The state of the state New Zealand 2016: Social investment for our future
    Deloitte and NZIER, 2016

Batch 4 (added 24 April 2016)

  1. Speech to the Institute of Public Administration New Zealand [Essential]
    18 February 2016, Hon Bill English
  2. The Untold Story of Magic Leap, the World’s Most Secretive Startup [Essential]
    WIRED – Kevin Kelly, May 2016
  3. Moore’s Law [Essential]
    A 2 minute video to watch, note the graph.
  4. Berkshire Hathaway Inc
    Warren E. Buffett – February 27, 2016 (read pages 23 – 25)
  5. Shell New Lens Scenarios [Essential]
    March 2013 (look at the timeline of the mountains and oceans scenarios on the back page)
  6. Great policy: Responsive today, shaping tomorrow
    26 May 2015, Andrew Kibblewhite, Address to IPANZ
  7. New Zealand Economic and Fiscal Outlook
    15 October 2015, Hon Bill English
  8. Statistics New Zealand
    Interactive population pyramid [Essential]
    NZ Progress Indicators report
    2013 Infographic on New Zealand as a village of 100 people [Essential]
    National Population Projections 2014 (base)-2068
    National Family and Household Projections 2013 (base)-2038
    National Labour Force Projections 2015 (base)-2068
    National Ethnic Population Projections 2013(base)-2038
    Population Projections Overview report
    NZ Social Indicators report
  9. How to Think Exponentially and Better Predict the Future
    5 April 2016, A Berman, J Dorrier and D Hill.
  10. Report 6 – Four Possible Futures for New Zealand in 2058
    December 2008, updated April 2009, McGuinness Institute
    Download here
  11. Report 12 – StrategyNZ: Mapping our Future Workbook: Exploring visions, foresight, strategies and their execution (particularly the glossary on pages 91 – 100)
    March 2011, McGuinness Institute
    Download here

Batch 3 (added 14 April 2016)

Future Scenarios for New Zealand – Work in Progress, Edition 2
The Landcare Research Scenarios Working Group – 2007

Are the winds of change upon us?
The National Business Review – Mark Hucklesby, 1 April 2016
20160418 ForesightNZ Resource-NBR-Budget-2016-1-April-2016

Dr Apirana Mahuika – Why we need relationships, rather than partnerships 
McGuinness Institute – Dr Apirana Mahuika, 5 July 2012

A glimpse of the future through an augmented reality headset 
TEDtalks – Meron Gribetz, February 2016


Batch 2 (added 24 March 2016)

Antifragile (Pages 23 – 27, 92 – 93, and 377)
Penguin Books, Nassim Nicholas Taleb – 2012

Report 11 – A History of Future-thinking Initiatives in New Zealand 1936–2010: Learning from the past to build a better future
McGuinness Institute – March 2011
Download here

Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind – Chapter 20 (from page 445) 
Penguin Books, Yuval Noah Harari – 2014

Briefing to the Incoming Minister of Finance 
The New Zealand Treasury – November 2011 (released February 2012)

One cheer for Labour’s Future of Work Commission
The National Business Review – Matthew Hooton, 24 March 2016
Image


Batch 1 (added 10 March 2016)

An Introduction to Using the Living Standards Framework [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – July 2015

Stewardship of the Future –  Using Strategic Foresight in 21st Century Governance – [Essential]
Global Centre for Public Service Excellence – 2015

Briefing to the Incoming Minister of Finance [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – November 2014 (updated March 2015)

Holding On and Letting Go: Opportunities and challenges for New Zealand’s economic performance [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – 2014

Affording Our Future: Statement on New Zealand’s Long-Term Fiscal Position [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – July 2013

The Future of the Commons: Beyond Market Failure and Government Regulation – Chapter 3 (from page 68)
Elinor Ostrom, The Institute of Economic Affairs – 2012

Challenges and Choices: New Zealand’s Long-term Fiscal Statement [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – October 2009

New Zealand’s Long-Term Fiscal Position [Essential]
The New Zealand Treasury – June 2006

Foresight – A Glossary [Essential]
Centre for Strategic Futures & Civil Service College, Singapore – n.d.

The Economics of Pandemic Preparedness [Recommended]
Conversable Economist – 29 March 2016

Centre for Strategic Futures – 2015  [Recommended]
Download here

Commentary on Affording Our Future: Statement on New Zealand’s Long-term Fiscal Position [Recommended]
Controller and Auditor-General – 6 August 2013

What will future generations condemn us for? [Recommended]
Washington Post – Kwame Anthony Appiah, 29 September 2010

Individualism and Economic Order [Recommended]
F. A. Hayek – 1948
Download here

Sen’s Capability Approach  [Recommended]
Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy – Thomas Wells, n.d.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb interview [Recommended]
Tomorrow Conference – June 2015

StrategyNZ: Mapping our Future – A place where talent wants to live
McGuinness Institute – Sir Paul Callaghan, 17 April 2011

The route to a sustainable future [Recommended]
TEDtalks – Alex Steffen, July 2005

Foresight review of resilience engineering [General Interest]
Lloyd’s Register Foundation – October 2015
Download here

Space Weather Preparedness Strategy  [General Interest]
Department for Business Innovation & Skills – July 2015